Storms have weakened across North and West Central Alabama, but activity is expected to pick back up overnight and into tomorrow afternoon, with strong storms possible southeast of I-59.
At 408 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Detroit, or 12 miles west of Hamilton, moving east at 35 mph.
Monitoring closely the storms firing in Northwest Alabama and eastern Mississippi. They continue to move over the same areas and we may begin to see isolated flooding start to form. There is a severe storm at Smithville, MS.
Scattered thunderstorms are starting to pop along a cold front. There is a marginal risk of severe storms across parts of Northern Alabama, with the main risk damaging wind gusts. In addition, we have chances for very heavy rain that could lead to isolated flooding.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed parts of Northern Alabama under a marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms today. This activity would form along a slow-moving cold front.
As of 11 PM EDT, the system is located about 100 miles southwest of Grand Cayman and is moving north-northwest at 6 mph with maximum winds of 35 mph and a central pressure of 1002 MB.
The latest European ensemble members model run is out, and there is a 60% chance that a tropical storm will develop over the Gulf of Mexico.
As we continue to hear about the potential for a tropical system developing over the Gulf of Mexico next week, the models are all over the place in strength, directions, and landfall locations.
The U.S Drought Monitor has issued their latest update. Tropical moisture from Hurricane Francine did help a bit in some areas with the drought conditions. One to locally two-category drought reductions occurred especially where extreme rainfall was seen. Sadly, some areas saw such extreme rain it led to massive flooding. Here is this week’s snapshot: […]
The stage this morning was 20.8 feet with the maximum stage over the past 24 hours at 21.3 feet.
While Alabama sees fewer showers and a warming trend this week, attention shifts to Invest 95L off the South Carolina coast, with models indicating possible tropical development in the next 18-24 hours.
The flood warning for Big Nance Creek at Courtland has been extended with the crest forecast increased to 21.5 feet, worsening the flood impact and making several streets impassable.
The flash flood threat has lessened enough for flash flood watches to expire. There will be showers today that will produce heavy rain in spots, but they will be fewer and farther between.
The WPC has issued two mesoscale precipitation discussions recently for Alabama.
Our long time friend, mentor, and charter Weather Factory member, J.B. Elliott, passed away on May 11, 2015. Click HERE to read James' tribute.
