SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Strong storms may pose at least some risk for potentially damaging wind gusts late this afternoon. While it still appears unlikely that this will require a watch, trends will be monitored.
Author Archive: MesoScale Discussion
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
A few strong wind gusts will be possible through the afternoon from the central Gulf Coast vicinity northeast toward eastern South Carolina.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 579…
An isolated severe threat will gradually shift southward across the discussion area through the early evening. The probability of a new Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance for portions of the discussion area is 20%.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Isolated damaging gusts, some near severe limits, may occur with a southeastward-moving band of thunderstorms during the next few hours. A watch is not currently expected.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Storms will continue moving across portions of western and middle Tennessee this afternoon, with a few of the strongest cells capable of producing locally gusty/damaging winds. WW is not expected at this time, due to the expected limited/local nature of the risk.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Low-topped supercells may produce isolated damaging winds and a brief, weak tornado. A watch issuance is unlikely given the marginal, isolated severe threat.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 507…
A brief tornado or two will remain possible through the evening hours with the stronger outer rain-bands/cells associated with weakening Tropical Depression Barry. Given the localized and brief nature of the tornado threat, a Tornado Watch re-issuance is not currently expected.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
A narrow corridor of localized wind damage or a brief/weak tornado exists from far eastern Mississippi toward the Alabama border.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
A storm or two may acquire transient rotation/weak supercell characteristics overnight. A brief/weak tornado cannot be ruled out. The forecast coverage/magnitude of the tornado risk will probably preclude a tornado watch issuance unless observational trends change.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Scattered storms are expected to pose a damaging-wind risk over the course of the afternoon. A WW is not expected due to the sporadic nature of the threat.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
A cluster of storms will likely persist into the afternoon. A few damaging wind gusts/downbursts will be possible. A WW is not anticipated.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Isolated severe thunderstorms with primarily a strong to damaging wind threat may develop this afternoon. Watch issuance is possible.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
A severe threat may extend downstream of WW 433 from parts of western/central KY into middle TN, far northwest AL, northern and central MS and perhaps far southern AR/northern LA. Trends will be monitored but one or more additional watches may be needed in the next 1-2 hours.
