Alabama 811 | Know What's Below.

Mainly Dry & Definitely Hot; A Few Showers Possible South of I-85

| June 22, 2024 @ 5:00 am

This Weekend
For today, ridging over Alabama will create weak winds and hot conditions, with temperatures reaching the mid to upper 90s. Southeasterly winds will increase moisture levels in our extreme southeastern locations, possibly leading to isolated showers and storms in the afternoon and evening hours south of I-85.

The ridge will shift westward on Sunday, allowing a trough to develop over the eastern U.S. This change will bring continental northwesterly winds at high altitudes and westerly winds at lower levels, making Sunday even hotter with highs in the mid to upper 90s, and I wouldn’t be surprised if a couple of locations hit the century mark. The rain chances will remain low on Sunday, but these hot conditions will persist into the beginning of the work week as moisture continues to increase.

Monday Through Friday
Increasing humidity levels will make it muggy across the area to start the work week. On Monday, it will be very hot and humid, with only a small chance of isolated to scattered showers and storms during the morning hours. Highs in the mid 90s under partly sunny skies.

Another very hot day on Tuesday, as we’ll have partly to mostly sunny skies and a low chance of isolated to scattered afternoon showers and storms. Highs in the mid 90s to the lower 100s.

By Wednesday, a significant change in our weather pattern will happen. An increase in moisture levels combined with increasing instability will lead to widespread convection. This means you can expect more frequent showers and thunderstorms across the area, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. The good news is that these storms will help provide some reduction in temperatures, and bringing some relief from the recent heat. Highs in the lower to mid 90s.

The weather will stay somewhat active on Thursday, as scattered showers and storms will be possible at times. While humidity levels will continue to be high with plenty of moisture in place, afternoon highs will be a little cooler, in the upper 80s to the lower 90s.

We go back to a more typical summer forecast for Central Alabama on Friday. We’ll have partly to mostly sunny skies, with a very small chance of an isolated shower or two. Unfortunately, it will be hotter, with highs in the lower to mid 90s.

Update on the Tropics
9 pm Friday Night

Over the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean, there’s a well-defined low pressure area (Invest 92L) about 40 miles southeast of Brunswick, Georgia. Right now, it’s only producing minimal showers and thunderstorms. This low pressure area is expected to move inland in the next few hours, and the chances of it becoming a tropical depression are decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.

Over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico, a broad area of low pressure (Invest 93L) is forming over the Bay of Campeche. The environment looks good for gradual development as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. A tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent.

On This Day In Weather History
One of the most severe weather events to hit the U.S. on June 22 occurred in 1947. On that day, a significant tornado outbreak affected parts of the Midwest, especially Ohio and Pennsylvania. The most devastating tornado was an F4 that struck Erie, Pennsylvania, causing extensive destruction, killing 20 people, and injuring over 300. The outbreak included multiple tornadoes and severe thunderstorms, resulting in widespread damage and highlighting the severe weather risks even outside the traditional tornado season.

Severe Weather Safety
Weather can be unpredictable, catching us off guard with its sudden changes. From thunderstorms to tornadoes or flash floods, being ready beforehand can be a lifesaver. Alabama, with its varied climate, faces its share of severe weather. That’s why having a solid safety plan is so important for everyone. Check out our Severe Weather Safety Guide for valuable tips on how to stay safe when severe weather is on the horizon.

Beach Forecast Center
Please visit our Beach Forecast Center page to access the most up-to-date weather and rip current forecasts for the beaches spanning from Fort Morgan to Panama City. On this platform, you can choose the forecast specific to the region you intend to visit, ensuring you have accurate and relevant information for your plans.

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Tropical, Weather Xtreme Videos

About the Author ()

Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.

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